If you’ve been anywhere near a news site lately, you’ve seen the same breathless headline recycled with minor tweaks:
“The AI revolution has begun.”
Which is a bit like yelling “the party is starting!” at 2 a.m. while someone is already asleep on the couch, another guest is doing karaoke with a lamp, and the snack table looks like a post-apocalyptic wasteland.
The AI revolution is not starting. It has been happening for years. The starting gun went off a long time ago. We’re already mid-race, and some folks have crossed a few finish lines while others are still lacing up their shoes.
So why do we keep pretending this is day one? And more importantly, what stage are we actually in?
Let’s take a walk through the real timeline, look at why “just starting” sells so well, and call out one of the most curious trends of all — AI denial.
Phase One: The Spark Before the Bonfire
(2012–2022)
Like most revolutions, the AI one did not arrive in a single thunderclap moment. It was a slow build, invisible to most people who weren’t lurking in research labs or tinkering with obscure GitHub repos.
The first real pop culture spark happened in 2012 with AlexNet, the deep learning model that smashed image recognition benchmarks. For the AI world, it was like watching a toddler suddenly play Mozart on the piano. Researchers saw it and collectively went, “Oh, this changes everything.”

The years after were a mix of technical leaps and public yawns:
- AI beat humans at Go (2016). Big deal for nerds, minor blip for the average Netflix binger.
- Machine translation started sounding less like a drunk tourist and more like a mildly tipsy one (2017+).
- Generative models like GPT-2 (2019) started producing text that could almost pass for human — which freaked out some people and excited others.
By 2020, GPT-3 dropped and suddenly the tech world couldn’t stop talking about large language models. Still, most of the public was busy doomscrolling pandemic news and baking sourdough. AI’s big coming-out party was on hold.
Phase Two: The Big Reveal
(Late 2022–2023)
Then came November 2022. ChatGPT arrived like an extrovert at a quiet dinner party, charming everyone into thinking they’d just met the future.
You could talk to a machine like you were texting a friend, and it would respond in sentences that didn’t look like a broken fortune cookie. This wasn’t just a leap forward. This was a swan dive into the mainstream.
Suddenly:
- Midjourney, DALL·E, and Stable Diffusion turned the world into amateur artists overnight.
- Every marketing team decided they needed an “AI strategy”… yesterday.
- Copywriters, illustrators, and coders all had an existential moment that ranged from “This is incredible” to “Well, I guess I live in a van now.”
This was when the media headlines started screaming about the revolution beginning. In reality, it was just the first public act of a play that had been rehearsing for a decade.
Phase Three: The Messy Middle
(2024–Now)
Here’s where we are today: AI is no longer a curiosity. It’s a tool, a co-worker, a competitor, and occasionally a very confident liar.
Industries aren’t just dabbling. They’re re-engineering:
- Law: Junior lawyers are letting AI do the first draft of contracts while they focus on fine-tuning.
- Medicine: AI models are spotting diseases in scans before some human doctors can.
- Creative fields: From music to film editing, AI has gone from novelty to necessity.
And yet, the hype cycle keeps recycling “it’s starting” headlines because… well, it’s good for clicks. “It’s already happening and you might be behind” feels accusatory. “It’s starting now” feels like you can still buy a ticket and not miss the ride.
Why “It’s Starting” Sells
There are a few big reasons the “day one” story keeps getting told:
- Evergreen urgency
If you say it’s starting, you give readers a sense they can still catch up. It’s the FOMO angle that sells workshops, books, and consulting hours. - Ignorance is comfortable
Many executives prefer thinking they can “wait until the dust settles.” The “just starting” line lets them off the hook for being late. - Marketing spin
Companies launching new AI products love framing their release as the dawn of the revolution. It makes them look like the torchbearers rather than someone joining a parade already in progress.
It’s like every band claiming their debut single is the “new era of rock.” Technically, yes, but also… no.
The Real Timeline of the AI Revolution
| Year | Milestone | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| 2012 | AlexNet | Deep learning explodes onto the scene. |
| 2014 | GANs invented | AI learns to imagine and create fake but convincing stuff. |
| 2016 | AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol | Proof AI can handle insanely complex decision-making. |
| 2018 | GPT-1 | Lays the foundation for language model dominance. |
| 2019 | GPT-2 | Generates coherent paragraphs. Mild panic ensues. |
| 2020 | GPT-3 | Mainstream tech crowd wakes up. |
| 2021 | DALL·E and CLIP | Multimodal AI starts to emerge. |
| Late 2022 | ChatGPT launch | Public “aha” moment. |
| 2023 | Generative AI everywhere | Integration into browsers, office suites, design tools. |
| 2024+ | AI as infrastructure | Quiet embedding into daily life, regulatory debates heat up. |
AI Denial: The New Flat Earth Movement
Here’s where it gets weird. While some people have embraced AI so enthusiastically they’ve practically adopted it as a family member, there’s a whole other camp living in willful ignorance.
Let’s call it AI denial — the belief that AI either isn’t real, isn’t useful, or is something you can just ignore until retirement.
This group includes:
- The “Just a fad” crowd — They think AI is the next 3D TV, here today, gone tomorrow.
- The “Too risky, too soon” crowd — They won’t touch AI until someone hands them a 500-page government safety report stamped “approved.”
- The “My job’s safe” crowd — They believe their work is immune, because “AI can’t possibly do what I do.” Spoiler: it can probably do 60% of it already.
The danger of AI denial isn’t just missing out on shiny tools. It’s being unprepared for the very real changes AI will bring whether you like it or not.
If you work in marketing, design, law, medicine, customer service, journalism, logistics, education — basically anything that involves information — AI is coming for some part of your workflow. Pretending otherwise is like refusing to buy a fridge in 1955 because you’ve “always been fine with ice deliveries.”
Why We’re Already Past the Starting Point
Think about any historical revolution. The start is usually invisible to most people. The American Revolution didn’t “start” with the Declaration of Independence. It started years earlier with organizing, small uprisings, and underground movements.
The same thing happened here:
- The research revolution started in labs over a decade ago.
- The industry revolution started when businesses built real products on AI foundations.
- The public revolution started the moment everyday people used AI without realizing it — every YouTube recommendation, every autocorrect, every “because you watched…” on Netflix.
By the time the newspapers said “It’s starting,” the middle was already here.
The Middle Is Where It Gets Interesting
This middle phase is when:
- Winners and losers start emerging.
- Regulations begin shaping the playing field.
- People stop asking “can we do this” and start asking “should we do this.”
- The magic fades, and that’s when the disruption deepens.
Right now, AI is still flashy enough to dominate headlines, but it’s also embedded enough that its biggest changes are invisible. Nobody calls it “AI-powered” when Netflix recommends a show anymore. But it is.
What’s Coming Next
If history is a guide, here’s what we can expect in the next phase:
- Consolidation — A handful of AI giants will dominate the infrastructure layer.
- Boring ubiquity — AI will be like electricity: essential, invisible, only exciting when it stops working.
- Policy and pushback — Lawsuits, labor disputes, and data privacy fights will be daily news.
- Invisible adoption — People will stop saying “I used AI to…” and just… use it.
And when that happens, the same headlines will be recycled — except they’ll be about whatever comes after AI as we know it.
Final Thought: You’re Already In It
If you are reading this on a device that suggests words as you type, recommends articles you might like, or serves ads creepily tailored to your last conversation, you are already participating in the AI revolution.
This is not a spectator sport that starts when the media says so. It’s a marathon you’ve been running for years — whether you signed up for it or not.
So the next time someone tells you the AI revolution is “just starting,” smile politely, nod, and know you’re already in the messy, fascinating middle of the story.
The middle is where things get real. And we are very much in it.

Lämna ett svar till The Next Two Years of AI: An Educated Guess From the Trenches – The Roine Playground Avbryt svar